Research Summary

Statistical Aspects of Setting and Implementing Environmental Standards
Peter Guttorp, Paul Sampson, Mary Lou Thompson and Larry Cox
The typical environmental standard is what may be called an ideal standard. Based on various effects studies, a target value not to be exceeded is determined, and the standard may be that this value not be exceeded, or only be exceeded with a certain probability, or a certain number of times per year.

There are several interesting aspects of this type of standard. We intend to study the recent proposed air pollution standards in terms of:

(a) What the standard is intended to achieve (the ideal standard)

(b) What the implementation procedure actually achieves

(c) What the detection probability of a violator is in terms of the monitoring network design

(d) How correctly to implement a standard of the ozone type in terms of the probability of detectinga violator, and the probability that a non-violator is declared in violation

For more information on this project, please contact Mary Lou Thompson.